Castellonense vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAN
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ONT
0 - 3
CAS
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 4
CUL
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
REC
0 - 2
CAS
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEG
0 - 2
ALG
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEG
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PEG
4 - 0
SDS
42%
26%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDG
2 - 0
PEG
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEG
1 - 0
TCF
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |