UD Carrión vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ADS
0 - 2
UDC
54%
22%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
3 - 1
CDB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 0
UDC
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
1 - 4
ALM
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CON
0 - 1
UDC
29%
24%
48%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
MOT
3 - 0
TER
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ATT
3 - 3
MOT
54%
23%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 1
ALM
45%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CLE
1 - 0
MOT
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MOT
0 - 0
ROD
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |