Cacabelense vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ARO
3 - 1
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
CAC
0 - 2
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 1
CAC
73%
18%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
CAC
2 - 2
CAY
50%
24%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAC
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
NAV
0 - 0
GIN
57%
27%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAV
59%
25%
16%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALO
66%
22%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
0 - 0
NAV
49%
28%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
NAV
1 - 0
GRA
56%
26%
19%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |