UD Bellavista vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
UDB
0 - 3
CIU
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UDV
2 - 2
UDB
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UDB
3 - 1
CDP
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
CAM
4 - 4
UDB
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UDB
1 - 4
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 0
YEY
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CIU
1 - 0
UDM
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UDM
2 - 0
UDV
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
CDP
0 - 0
UDM
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UDM
2 - 1
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |