Pref. Valenciana Promotion Play Off Final
Global 0-1
UD Aldaia vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aldaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
MUT
0 - 0
ALD
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ALD
2 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
JUP
0 - 2
ALD
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALD
6 - 2
TUR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 3
ALD
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
MUT
0 - 0
ALD
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
MUT
7 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BFL
0 - 5
MUT
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MUT
3 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VIJ
1 - 3
MUT
36%
24%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |