UD Airão vs Fermilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Airão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASF
3 - 2
AIR
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
LOG
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OCA
3 - 0
AIR
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SNB
0 - 3
AIR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AIR
1 - 1
MOT
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fermilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FER
4 - 1
SNB
85%
10%
4%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 4
FER
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
FER
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 1
FER
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
PCO
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |