UCV vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
UCV
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
UCV
1 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
UCL
0 - 1
UCV
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UCV
2 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
UCV
0 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 1
UCL
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
LAR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |