UCV vs Barquisimeto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
UCV
2 - 0
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
FLD
0 - 1
UCV
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
EST
0 - 0
UCV
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
TAC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
UCV
1 - 2
DEP
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 1
FLD
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
FLD
0 - 1
UCV
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
FLD
0 - 0
TRU
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FRO
1 - 2
FLD
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FLD
2 - 0
HFF
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |