UCLA FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1966 |
MIR
1 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
ALI
3 - 0
LAR
53%
20%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UNI
1 - 0
LAR
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 0
LAR
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |