UCLA Bruins vs San Diego State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCLA Bruins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 1
UCB
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
OSB
4 - 3
UCB
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 1
CGB
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
UCB
2 - 0
STA
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UCB
4 - 3
CGB
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
OSB
2 - 0
SDS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
WAH
1 - 0
SDS
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
1 - 0
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 0
CGB
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SDS
0 - 4
OSB
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |