UCAM Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
0 - 1
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UCA
1 - 2
ARR
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCA
79%
14%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 0
SEV
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SRQ
2 - 0
UCA
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
BET
65%
21%
13%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
35%
31%
35%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
RJA
33%
30%
38%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALM
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |