UCAM Murcia vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
UCA
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
ALA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UCA
4 - 1
PUL
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 0
NIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 0
IMP
9%
20%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
ABA
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
ABA
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 0
ABA
80%
15%
6%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ABA
3 - 1
CDB
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |