UCAM Murcia vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
UCA
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 2
JUM
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REC
0 - 1
UCA
31%
31%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
UCA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UCA
0 - 2
RAC
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAR
20%
26%
54%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DBN
2 - 0
MAL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
GRA
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
MAL
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
TAL
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |