UC La Estrella vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
MOR
0 - 3
UCL
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
UCL
3 - 0
ADP
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
CPC
4 - 1
UCL
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
UCL
2 - 1
OLI
83%
13%
5%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
MER
1 - 3
UCL
80%
15%
5%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
EMD
2 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EXT
1 - 0
EMD
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
EMD
1 - 3
MON
35%
28%
36%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
AZU
0 - 1
EMD
40%
27%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
EMD
0 - 2
CDB
23%
30%
47%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | -1 |