UC La Estrella vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BAD
5 - 0
UCL
64%
23%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCL
0 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EXT
1 - 1
UCL
64%
21%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
UCL
4 - 0
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
OLI
1 - 2
UCL
37%
28%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
DBN
6 - 1
COR
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MON
0 - 6
DBN
12%
22%
66%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
DBN
1 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
DBN
15%
23%
63%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 3
DBN
19%
25%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |