AlbinoLeffe vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
TRE
0 - 2
ABN
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 0
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
ABN
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CES
1 - 0
ABN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPE
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPE
0 - 0
PIS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
SPE
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |