UB Conquense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 0
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 0
AGD
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 2
UBC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UBC
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
RJA
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
JER
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
39%
30%
32%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |