Tynecastle vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 1
EYE
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
6 - 2
TYN
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 2
TYN
9%
13%
77%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
TYN
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 4
ORM
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
HER
22%
20%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 0
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
TYN
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EYE
1 - 7
HER
6%
12%
82%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -1 |