Herkenrath vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SVB
0 - 2
HER
21%
21%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
EIL
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
VIA
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VFL
2 - 0
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AAA
2 - 0
H05
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WES
4 - 3
AAA
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 0
AAA
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AAA
3 - 0
VFL
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
AAA
1 - 2
ALT
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |