Tuv Azarganuud vs Ulaanbaatar City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
7º
5º
26
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 10
TBF
14%
17%
70%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 2
ULA
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
3 - 1
TBF
65%
17%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 2
DER
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 5
TBF
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ULC
0 - 3
ULA
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
DER
4 - 3
ULC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 6
SPF
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KHC
1 - 2
ULC
14%
16%
70%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ULC
4 - 2
BCH
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |