Tuv Azarganuud vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
7º
5º
68
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
ERC
2 - 4
TBF
43%
21%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TBF
3 - 2
DER
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
KHA
3 - 5
TBF
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 5
SPF
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KHO
0 - 4
TBF
26%
19%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ULA
4 - 2
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 1
ULA
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ULA
2 - 0
KHC
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BCH
0 - 6
ULA
7%
12%
81%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ULA
5 - 1
ERC
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |