Konigsdorf vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
50.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
8º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
KON
29%
22%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
HUR
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GET
2 - 0
KON
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 1
KON
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KON
0 - 3
SVE
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SVE
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
SCF
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
BSC
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BFR
0 - 0
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |