TUS Bad Gleichenberg vs FC Hertha Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
15º
50
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Bad Gleichenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
TBG
3 - 0
GUR
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TBG
1 - 2
ANN
43%
23%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DLB
5 - 1
TBG
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TBG
4 - 3
ALL
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VOC
2 - 1
TBG
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
GDF
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
LJU
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SVW
1 - 2
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WEI
1 - 3
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HER
5 - 0
NEU
79%
14%
8%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |