Turris Neapolis vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TUR
1 - 2
ULD
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 3
TUR
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
TUR
6 - 1
BUD
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
TUR
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TUR
3 - 1
APR
81%
14%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 3
BAR
23%
26%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
FCC
2 - 1
FRA
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
CAT
3 - 2
FRA
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TER
0 - 1
FRA
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 2
PIC
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |