Turris Neapolis vs Real Nocera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 1
TUR
15%
20%
66%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TUR
4 - 0
INT
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 2
TUR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 0
CAM
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUR
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
REA
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
BRI
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 0
REA
32%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |