Turris Neapolis vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 3
TUR
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 3
EBO
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
TUR
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
TUR
5 - 0
GSM
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
TUR
4 - 0
FCR
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MES
4 - 0
HYR
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
MES
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 0
MES
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |