Regionalliga Bayern Round 38

Türkgücü München vs FC Augsburg II analysis

Türkgücü München FC Augsburg II
51 ELO 48
-9.3% Tilt 5%
5104º General ELO ranking 2797º
251º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
51.3%
Türkgücü München
23.8%
Draw
24.9%
FC Augsburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
Türkgücü München
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.9%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Türkgücü München
-52%
-10%
FC Augsburg II

Points and table prediction

Türkgücü München
Their league position
FC Augsburg II
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
17º
14º
54
20º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Unterhaching
86
86
100%
Würzburger Kickers
80
80
100%
Bayern München II
71
71
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
0%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
61
61
0%
Schweinfurt
59
59
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
56
56
100%
Greuther Fürth II
55
55
100%
Illertissen
55
55
100%
FC Augsburg II
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Aubstadt
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Buchbach
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Vilzing
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Türkgücü München
14º
50
50
14º
0%
SpVgg Ansbach
15º
50
50
15º
0%
VfB Eichstätt
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Rain / Lech
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Hankofen-Hailing
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Heimstetten
19º
25
25
19º
100%
FC Pipinsried
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Türkgücü München
FC Augsburg II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Türkgücü München
FC Augsburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Türkgücü München
Türkgücü München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
TAM
Türkgücü München
1 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
52%
24%
24%
52 48 4 0
12 May. 2023
BUC
Buchbach
3 - 0
Türkgücü München
TAM
28%
24%
48%
52 46 6 0
04 May. 2023
TAM
Türkgücü München
0 - 3
Schweinfurt
SCH
57%
22%
21%
53 46 7 -1
29 Apr. 2023
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 0
Türkgücü München
TAM
51%
24%
25%
55 57 2 -2
25 Apr. 2023
VIL
Vilzing
3 - 2
Türkgücü München
TAM
13%
20%
68%
56 40 16 -1

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
5 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
24%
22%
53%
49 40 9 0
13 May. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 0
VfB Eichstätt
EIC
62%
19%
18%
48 43 5 +1
05 May. 2023
FCP
FC Pipinsried
0 - 4
FC Augsburg II
AUG
12%
18%
70%
47 29 18 +1
29 Apr. 2023
AUG
FC Augsburg II
4 - 2
Nürnberg II
NUR
33%
23%
44%
46 51 5 +1
21 Apr. 2023
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
1 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
16%
21%
63%
46 34 12 0