Turan-T vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
8º
6º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 3
TUR
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
SFK
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FKN
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
TUR
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
23%
28%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FKN
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 2
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |