Tupi vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 0
TUP
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
TUP
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAL
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 1
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 0
AMF
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 1
TFC
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |