Tupi vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
TUP
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
TUP
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 3
ATM
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
TUP
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
PPE
12%
21%
68%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOM
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
URT
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |