Tupã vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
TUP
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
6 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
PAU
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
5 - 1
ATI
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 0
AGU
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 1
COT
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 0
AGU
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |