Tunari vs Alexandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
TUN
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
PRO
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
TUN
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 2
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
ALE
0 - 0
VII
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
INT
0 - 3
ALE
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 1
PRA
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
ALE
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 0
INT
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |