Esiliiga Normal Season Round 27

Tulevik Viljandi vs Alliance FC analysis

Tulevik Viljandi Alliance FC
43 ELO 38
16.6% Tilt 6.7%
5596º General ELO ranking 27407º
32º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Tulevik Viljandi
21.2%
Draw
21.5%
Alliance FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Tulevik Viljandi
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
Alliance FC
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Tulevik Viljandi
Alliance FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tulevik Viljandi
Tulevik Viljandi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2022
PAI
Paide II
3 - 2
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
85%
10%
5%
42 54 12 0
29 Aug. 2022
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
2 - 0
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
81%
12%
7%
43 59 16 -1
24 Aug. 2022
ZEN
Zenit Tallinn
1 - 6
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
21%
19%
61%
42 29 13 +1
20 Aug. 2022
TUL
Tulevik Viljandi
1 - 1
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
19%
22%
60%
41 57 16 +1
15 Aug. 2022
TUL
Tulevik Viljandi
1 - 0
Viimsi JK
VJK
17%
21%
62%
40 56 16 +1

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 4
Nõmme United
NOM
16%
18%
67%
42 51 9 0
27 Aug. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
17%
22%
61%
41 57 16 +1
20 Aug. 2022
FCE
FC Elva
4 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
79%
14%
7%
42 56 14 -1
13 Aug. 2022
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
3 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
81%
12%
7%
43 59 16 -1
06 Aug. 2022
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 4
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
19%
22%
59%
43 56 13 0