Tuggen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TUG
2 - 3
LUZ
67%
18%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ZOF
2 - 3
TUG
29%
24%
48%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 2
CHI
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
TUG
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TUG
2 - 2
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
GCB
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 1
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
5 - 2
ZOF
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 3
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |