Tuggen vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 5
TUG
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TUG
0 - 1
SCH
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
YVE
1 - 3
TUG
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TUG
2 - 3
FRI
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TUG
0 - 2
BRE
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCZ
3 - 3
ETO
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ETO
5 - 1
DEL
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SCB
1 - 1
ETO
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ETO
1 - 0
OLD
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
ETO
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |