Tuggen vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
KRE
0 - 1
TUG
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TUG
0 - 3
GRA
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
GCB
2 - 1
TUG
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TUG
0 - 0
YFJ
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
SVS
0 - 1
TUG
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BAD
2 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
STG
0 - 1
BAD
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BAD
3 - 4
WIN
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FCB
1 - 1
BAD
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
BAD
4 - 0
MEN
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |