Tuen Mun FC vs Sparta Asia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
71.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuen Mun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
KKA
2 - 1
TUE
44%
22%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUC
2 - 1
TUE
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TUE
1 - 4
MGS
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUE
1 - 1
KWL
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SKU
1 - 1
TUE
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Asia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MUT
2 - 1
KWL
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TMS
2 - 1
MUT
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUT
0 - 3
LUC
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SKU
1 - 3
MUT
14%
17%
69%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MGS
2 - 3
MUT
22%
19%
59%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |