Tucson vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CRW
1 - 0
TUC
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
IMI
1 - 2
TUC
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 3
NOT
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
1 - 1
FMA
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TUC
2 - 3
GTR
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
OMA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
OMA
8%
14%
78%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
OMA
43%
22%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |