Tucson vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TUC
3 - 2
LVG
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIC
4 - 0
TUC
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 0
TUC
34%
22%
44%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
OMA
6 - 1
TUC
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 0
RIC
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FMA
2 - 2
OMA
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FMA
3 - 0
CLE
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CRW
1 - 1
FMA
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 1
CRW
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 2
TUC
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |