PDL USA Western Conference Round 2

Tucson vs Capo II analysis

Tucson Capo II
47 ELO 12
2.5% Tilt 8.1%
5314º General ELO ranking 11647º
102º Country ELO ranking 203º
ELO win probability
87.1%
Tucson
8.8%
Draw
4.1%
Capo II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
Tucson
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.1%
Win probability
Capo II
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Points and table prediction

Tucson
Their league position
Capo II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
13º
17
13º
28º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ventura County Fusion
35
35
100%
Ballard
29
29
0%
United PDX
29
29
0%
Tucson
25
28
87.5%
Almaden
28
28
8%
Project 51O
28
28
0%
Flatirons Rush
27
27
87.5%
Glens
25
25
95.5%
Tacoma Stars
23
23
0%
Monterey Bay 2 FC
10º
23
23
10º
100%
AMSG
11º
23
23
11º
0%
Redlands
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Albion Colorado
13º
22
22
13º
100%
New Mexico United U23
19º
17
20
14º
57%
Arizona Arsenal
14º
18
18
15º
21.5%
Midlakes United
15º
18
18
16º
0%
San Francisco City
16º
18
18
17º
0%
Capo II
18º
17
17
18º
57%
Salt City
17º
17
17
19º
57%
West Seattle Junction
20º
17
17
20º
100%
Utah United
21º
15
15
21º
100%
Lane United
22º
15
15
22º
100%
Utah Avalanche
23º
15
15
23º
100%
Davis Legacy
24º
15
15
24º
100%
Oly Town
25º
13
13
25º
100%
Academica
26º
12
12
26º
0%
CFC Atletico
27º
12
12
27º
0%
Marin
28º
9
9
28º
100%
Seahorses
29º
7
7
29º
95.5%
Coachella
30º
6
6
30º
95.5%
CISA
31º
0
0
31º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tucson
Capo II
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tucson
Capo II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tucson
Tucson
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2024
RFC
Redlands
1 - 2
Tucson
TUC
20%
22%
59%
46 29 17 0
09 Jun. 2024
AMS
AMSG
3 - 2
Tucson
TUC
8%
13%
79%
48 12 36 -2
31 May. 2024
ARA
Arizona Arsenal
3 - 3
Tucson
TUC
8%
14%
78%
48 14 34 0
26 May. 2024
CAP
Capo II
1 - 4
Tucson
TUC
8%
14%
78%
48 12 36 0
25 May. 2024
VEN
Ventura County Fusion
0 - 0
Tucson
TUC
35%
24%
41%
48 44 4 0

Matches

Capo II
Capo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2024
CAP
Capo II
1 - 2
AMSG
AMS
41%
22%
38%
11 12 1 0
26 May. 2024
CAP
Capo II
1 - 4
Tucson
TUC
8%
14%
78%
12 48 36 -1
25 May. 2024
CAP
Capo II
0 - 2
Arizona Arsenal
ARA
41%
22%
38%
13 14 1 -1
19 May. 2024
RFC
Redlands
1 - 4
Capo II
CAP
84%
11%
5%
10 30 20 +3
05 May. 2024
CFC
Coachella
0 - 3
Capo II
CAP
48%
21%
31%
9 9 0 +1