TSV Sasel vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
40
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
6 - 0
WIL
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 2
OSD
83%
11%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
SAS
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OTT
4 - 1
SAS
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 2
CUR
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 2
VHG
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 4
WAN
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 2
EIM
13%
17%
71%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
OSD
2 - 2
UTO
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
5 - 2
UTO
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |