Oberliga Hamburg Round 2

TSV Sasel vs TuRa Harksheide analysis

TSV Sasel TuRa Harksheide
44 ELO 28
24.9% Tilt 8.1%
5373º General ELO ranking 7290º
257º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
85%
TSV Sasel
9.6%
Draw
5.4%
TuRa Harksheide

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
TSV Sasel
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.4%
Win probability
TuRa Harksheide
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Sasel
-52%
-22%
TuRa Harksheide

Points and table prediction

TSV Sasel
Their league position
TuRa Harksheide
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
46
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Altona 93
82
82
100%
Dassendorf
77
77
100%
ETSV Hamburg
60
63
82.5%
Niendorfer TSV
62
62
82.5%
HEBC Hamburg
59
59
100%
TSV Sasel
56
56
100%
Paloma Hamburg
50
50
100%
Victoria Hamburg
49
49
100%
Süderelbe
48
48
100%
TSV Buchholz 08
10º
46
46
10º
100%
TuRa Harksheide
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Halstenbek-Rellingen
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Wandsbeker Concordia
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Alsterbruder
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Rugenbergen
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Union Tornesch
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Düneberger SV
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Sasel
TuRa Harksheide
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Sasel
TuRa Harksheide
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Sasel
TSV Sasel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
WIL
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 - 2
TSV Sasel
SAS
12%
15%
73%
43 26 17 0
15 Jul. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
1 - 3
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
32%
23%
45%
44 51 7 -1
05 May. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
3 - 0
Rugenbergen
RUG
84%
10%
6%
43 29 14 +1
28 Apr. 2023
VHG
Victoria Hamburg
0 - 3
TSV Sasel
SAS
26%
20%
53%
42 30 12 +1
23 Apr. 2023
SAS
TSV Sasel
3 - 1
Wandsbeker Concordia
WAN
80%
12%
8%
41 30 11 +1

Matches

TuRa Harksheide
TuRa Harksheide
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
THA
TuRa Harksheide
4 - 0
Union Tornesch
UTO
51%
22%
27%
28 24 4 0
05 May. 2023
OSD
Tus Osdorf
4 - 2
TuRa Harksheide
THA
19%
20%
62%
30 19 11 -2
28 Apr. 2023
THA
TuRa Harksheide
1 - 1
Altona 93
ALT
26%
23%
51%
29 37 8 +1
22 Apr. 2023
CUR
Curslack-Neuengamme
2 - 3
TuRa Harksheide
THA
22%
20%
58%
28 19 9 +1
16 Apr. 2023
UTO
Union Tornesch
2 - 2
TuRa Harksheide
THA
32%
22%
46%
27 22 5 +1