TSV Sasel vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
29
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 83 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 75 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 73 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 69 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 64 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 59 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 41 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 33 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 25 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 92% |
| Relegation | 0% | 8% |
ELO progression
SUD
SAS
RUG
OTT
BRA
VHG
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SAS | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
SAS
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 219 | 180 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAS
0 - 1
DAS
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 303 | -264 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
OSD
4 - 1
SAS
46%
27%
26%
|
40 | 119 | 79 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAS
3 - 2
HAM
41%
27%
31%
|
40 | 186 | -146 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 2
SAS
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 135 | 96 | +1 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SUD | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
SUD
3 - 2
BRA
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 213 | -142 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SUD
2 - 4
NIE
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 99 | -27 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
HAM
3 - 2
SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 218 | 145 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
SUD
0 - 4
DAS
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 301 | -227 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
OSD
0 - 2
SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 119 | 46 | +1 |