TSV Sasel vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability

2.88
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
24.8%
Win probability

1.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+102%
+64%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
29
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
66 | 83 |
1º
|
69% | |
![]() |
2º
|
57 | 75 |
2º
|
35% | |
![]() |
3º
|
55 | 73 |
3º
|
33% | |
![]() |
4º
|
50 | 69 |
4º
|
41% | |
![]() |
5º
|
48 | 64 |
5º
|
43% | |
![]() |
6º
|
46 | 59 |
6º
|
53% | |
![]() |
7º
|
36 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
![]() |
8º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
![]() |
9º
|
29 | 41 |
10º
|
12% | |
![]() |
10º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
11% | |
![]() |
11º
|
29 | 41 |
9º
|
10% | |
![]() |
12º
|
27 | 41 |
11º
|
10% | |
![]() |
13º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9% | |
![]() |
14º
|
24 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
![]() |
15º
|
23 | 33 |
16º
|
13% | |
![]() |
16º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
11% | |
![]() |
17º
|
12 | 25 |
17º
|
39% | |
![]() |
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
55% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion | 0% | 0% |
Mid-table | 100% | 92% |
Relegation | 0% | 8% |
ELO progression

SUD

SAS

RUG

OTT

BRA

VHG
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SAS | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Oct. 2019 |
HAM
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SAS
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 219 | 180 | 0 |
13 Oct. 2019 |
SAS
![]() 0 - 1
![]() DAS
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 303 | -264 | -1 |
04 Oct. 2019 |
OSD
![]() 4 - 1
![]() SAS
46%
27%
26%
|
40 | 119 | 79 | -1 |
29 Sep. 2019 |
SAS
![]() 3 - 2
![]() HAM
41%
27%
31%
|
40 | 186 | -146 | +1 |
20 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
![]() 1 - 2
![]() SAS
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 135 | 96 | +1 |
Matches
Süderelbe

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SUD | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Oct. 2019 |
SUD
![]() 3 - 2
![]() BRA
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 213 | -142 | +1 |
11 Oct. 2019 |
SUD
![]() 2 - 4
![]() NIE
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 99 | -27 | -1 |
04 Oct. 2019 |
HAM
![]() 3 - 2
![]() SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 218 | 145 | -1 |
27 Sep. 2019 |
SUD
![]() 0 - 4
![]() DAS
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 301 | -227 | -1 |
20 Sep. 2019 |
OSD
![]() 0 - 2
![]() SUD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 119 | 46 | +1 |