Oberliga. Hamburg, Matchday 14

TSV Sasel vs Süderelbe analysis

TSV Sasel Süderelbe
15 ELO 22
105% Tilt 86%
5857º General ELO ranking 7444º
188º Country ELO ranking 284º
ELO win probability
58%
TSV Sasel
17.2%
Draw
24.8%
Süderelbe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
TSV Sasel
2.88
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
24.8%
Win probability
Süderelbe
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Sasel
+102%
+64%
Süderelbe

Points and table prediction

TSV Sasel
Their league position
Süderelbe
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
29
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dassendorf
66
83
69%
Teutonia Ottensen
57
75
35%
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
55
73
33%
Victoria Hamburg
50
69
41%
TSV Sasel
48
64
43%
Niendorfer TSV
46
59
53%
 Hamburger SV III
36
38
13º
16%
Tus Osdorf
33
45
11%
Curslack-Neuengamme
29
41
10º
12%
Wandsbeker Concordia
10º
29
43
11%
Süderelbe
11º
29
41
10%
Hamm United FC
12º
27
41
11º
10%
Paloma Hamburg
13º
25
40
12º
9%
Rugenbergen
14º
24
37
14º
11%
Union Tornesch
15º
23
33
16º
13%
TSV Buchholz 08
16º
17
33
15º
11%
Meiendorfer SV
17º
12
25
17º
39%
Bramfelder SV
18º
10
19
18º
55%
Expected probabilities
TSV Sasel
Süderelbe
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 92%
Relegation
0% 8%

ELO progression

Süderelbe
SUD
TSV Sasel
SAS
Rugenbergen
RUG
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
Bramfelder SV
BRA
Victoria Hamburg
VHG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Sasel
TSV Sasel
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2019
HAM
Hamm United FC
1 - 1
TSV Sasel
SAS
51%
26%
24%
39 219 180 0
13 Oct. 2019
SAS
TSV Sasel
0 - 1
Dassendorf
DAS
39%
27%
34%
39 303 -264 -1
04 Oct. 2019
OSD
Tus Osdorf
4 - 1
TSV Sasel
SAS
46%
27%
26%
40 119 79 -1
29 Sep. 2019
SAS
TSV Sasel
3 - 2
 Hamburger SV III
HAM
41%
27%
31%
40 186 -146 +1
20 Sep. 2019
CUR
Curslack-Neuengamme
1 - 2
TSV Sasel
SAS
48%
27%
25%
39 135 96 +1

Matches

Süderelbe
Süderelbe
1%
X%
2%
ELO SUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2019
SUD
Süderelbe
3 - 2
Bramfelder SV
BRA
41%
27%
31%
71 213 -142 +1
11 Oct. 2019
SUD
Süderelbe
2 - 4
Niendorfer TSV
NIE
46%
27%
28%
72 99 -27 -1
04 Oct. 2019
HAM
Hamm United FC
3 - 2
Süderelbe
SUD
47%
27%
26%
73 218 145 -1
27 Sep. 2019
SUD
Süderelbe
0 - 4
Dassendorf
DAS
39%
28%
33%
74 301 -227 -1
20 Sep. 2019
OSD
Tus Osdorf
0 - 2
Süderelbe
SUD
47%
27%
26%
73 119 46 +1