Austria Fourth Division Carintia Round 3

TSV Grafenstein vs Bleiburg analysis

TSV Grafenstein Bleiburg
11 ELO 29
2.9% Tilt 4.4%
16395º General ELO ranking 9553º
302º Country ELO ranking 207º
ELO win probability
11.9%
TSV Grafenstein
16.8%
Draw
71.3%
Bleiburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
TSV Grafenstein
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.3%
Win probability
Bleiburg
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Grafenstein
-5%
-16%
Bleiburg

ELO progression

TSV Grafenstein
Bleiburg
Spittal
SV Donau Klagenfurt
Köttmannsdorf
FC Nussdorf
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Grafenstein
TSV Grafenstein
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2025
SPI
Spittal
4 - 2
TSV Grafenstein
TSV
76%
14%
10%
11 36 25 0
02 Mar. 2024
SCL
Landskron
5 - 0
TSV Grafenstein
TSV
77%
13%
9%
11 25 14 0
09 Feb. 2024
KMD
Köttmannsdorf
1 - 2
TSV Grafenstein
TSV
70%
18%
13%
10 30 20 +1
05 Jul. 2019
SVJ
St. Jakob
6 - 2
TSV Grafenstein
TSV
76%
15%
9%
10 22 12 0
10 Jul. 2018
TSV
TSV Grafenstein
4 - 4
Völkermarkt
VOL
10%
16%
75%
9 26 17 +1

Matches

Bleiburg
Bleiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2025
KAC
KAC
1 - 0
Bleiburg
BLE
60%
21%
19%
29 37 8 0
31 May. 2025
BLE
Bleiburg
3 - 3
St. Jakob
SVJ
53%
23%
25%
29 26 3 0
24 May. 2025
DIG
Dellach im Gailtal
0 - 2
Bleiburg
BLE
74%
15%
11%
27 37 10 +2
17 May. 2025
BLE
Bleiburg
4 - 6
Völkermarkt
VOL
21%
22%
57%
28 37 9 -1
09 May. 2025
LEN
Lendorf
0 - 1
Bleiburg
BLE
77%
14%
9%
27 42 15 +1