Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 14

TSV Essingen vs FSV Hollenbach analysis

TSV Essingen FSV Hollenbach
20 ELO 35
-0.5% Tilt -1.9%
5889º General ELO ranking 5410º
295º Country ELO ranking 269º
ELO win probability
13.7%
TSV Essingen
18.1%
Draw
68.2%
FSV Hollenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
TSV Essingen
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.2%
Win probability
FSV Hollenbach
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Essingen
+120%
+37%
FSV Hollenbach

Points and table prediction

TSV Essingen
Their league position
FSV Hollenbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
14º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC 08 Villingen
72
72
100%
Göppinger SV
69
69
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
68
68
100%
CfR Pforzheim
64
64
100%
Nottingen
57
60
100%
FSV Hollenbach
49
49
63%
Normannia Gmünd
48
48
63%
TSV Essingen
46
46
100%
VfR Mannheim
43
43
59%
Oberachern
10º
42
42
10º
59%
TSG Backnang
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Ravensburg
13º
40
41
12º
22%
ATSV Mutschelbach
12º
41
41
13º
63%
Bissingen
15º
36
37
14º
37%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
15º
37%
FC Holzhausen
16º
36
36
16º
59%
Denzlingen
17º
36
36
17º
59%
Offenburger FV
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Essingen
FSV Hollenbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Essingen
FSV Hollenbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Essingen
TSV Essingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
3 - 1
TSV Essingen
TSV
86%
9%
5%
18 35 17 0
07 Oct. 2023
TSV
TSV Essingen
0 - 2
Göppinger SV
GOP
13%
17%
71%
18 38 20 0
03 Oct. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
0 - 3
TSV Essingen
TSV
86%
9%
5%
16 31 15 +2
30 Sep. 2023
TSV
TSV Essingen
1 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
12%
16%
72%
17 34 17 -1
23 Sep. 2023
REU
Reutlingen
5 - 1
TSV Essingen
TSV
79%
13%
8%
17 28 11 0

Matches

FSV Hollenbach
FSV Hollenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
1 - 0
Offenburger FV
OFF
70%
17%
14%
35 24 11 0
07 Oct. 2023
RAV
Ravensburg
1 - 1
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
33%
22%
44%
35 28 7 0
03 Oct. 2023
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
3 - 2
FC Holzhausen
FCH
64%
19%
17%
34 26 8 +1
30 Sep. 2023
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
2 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
23%
21%
56%
36 25 11 -2
23 Sep. 2023
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 2
Nottingen
NOT
62%
19%
19%
37 27 10 -1