Wörsdorf vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
WOR
3 - 0
ESC
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
FRA
3 - 2
WOR
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
WOR
2 - 0
KKA
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
WOR
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
WOR
2 - 2
VIK
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 0
ERZ
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ESC
2 - 4
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 3
FRA
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
KKA
1 - 1
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 3
VEL
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |