TSB Flensburg vs SV Preußen Reinfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
4º
47
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 3
FLE
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
FLE
14%
17%
69%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
FLE
10%
15%
76%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
5 - 1
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 0
LUB
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 4
PRR
38%
21%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
3 - 1
PRR
56%
19%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PRR
4 - 0
HOH
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ECK
1 - 1
PRR
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |