Truro City vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 3
WHI
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 1
EBB
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
4 - 2
HEM
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEA
4 - 4
WHI
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
WHI
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 1
BIS
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WES
0 - 3
CHM
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHM
2 - 3
MAR
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHM
0 - 2
SUT
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 3
WHI
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |