Trujillo vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
TRU
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CNV
1 - 3
TRU
47%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TRU
5 - 1
GUA
75%
15%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
TRU
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 2
GIM
29%
24%
48%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ORE
5 - 1
CNV
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 3
ORE
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ORE
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GIM
2 - 2
ORE
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ORE
4 - 1
ACD
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |