Trujillo vs Merida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
UDF
4 - 1
TRU
50%
25%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
COR
3 - 0
TRU
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
0 - 5
JER
14%
22%
64%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ADL
1 - 1
TRU
36%
27%
37%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
DBN
2 - 1
MCB
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
MCB
2 - 1
UDF
85%
12%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
GUA
0 - 1
MCB
21%
26%
53%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
MCB
2 - 0
COR
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
JER
1 - 2
MCB
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |